2024 Election: John Mahama Leads In Greater Accra With 63.8%-Survey
According to Mussa Dankwah, Executive Director of Global InfoAnalytics, a recent poll conducted in July, which surveyed 1,370 voters in the Greater Accra region, reveals that 63.8% of respondents intend to vote for John Dramani Mahama.
He stated that the polls also revealed that 30.8% prefer Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia and 5.4% support other candidates, Alan Kyerematen and Nana Bediako.
Mussa Dankwah further observed that, based on the poll results, if the elections were held today, John Dramani Mahama would enjoy a significant lead of 33 percentage points over his closest rival, Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia.
“However, when we analyzed how these respondents voted in the 2020 general election, the data shows, that 55.5% of the respondents had previously voted for Nana Addo in the 2020 elections in the region compared to John Mahama’s 44.2% while others got 0.3%”.
Mussa Dankwah
The Data Analyst noted that this represents a substantial improvement for John Mahama, with a 19.6% increase in support compared to his performance in the 2020 elections, indicating a significant gain in popularity over the past four years.
However, Mussa Dankwah also observed that Dr. Bawumia’s support has significantly eroded, with a loss of 24.7% of the votes secured by Nana Addo in the 2020 elections, indicating a substantial decline in popularity.
Dankwah further clarified that the 24.7% loss in votes suffered by Dr. Bawumia was redistributed among other candidates, with John Mahama gaining 19.6% of those lost votes, while Alan Kyerematen and Nana Kwame Bediako collectively garnered 5.1%, indicating a shift in voter support.
He highlighted that the polling trends in the region (Greater Accra) indicate a historic shift, suggesting that John Mahama is poised to surpass the performance of any presidential candidate in the region since 1992, a remarkable feat that underscores his strong support base
Moreover, Mussa Dankwah observed that according to the July poll, which surveyed 720 voters in the Central Region – a crucial swing region – a significant 39.5% of respondents indicated their intention to vote for John Dramani Mahama, highlighting his strong appeal in this critical electoral area.
He additionally pointed out that the same poll revealed a closely contested race in the region, with 30.1% of voters intending to support Dr. Bawumia, while a combined 30.4% preferred Alan Kyerematen and Nana Kwame Bediako, indicating a tight margin among the NPP and the other contenders.
